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What Are My Chances of Success in Counselling?

  • Writer: Chris Lambert
    Chris Lambert
  • Nov 21
  • 3 min read

It’s completely normal to wonder:“If I start counselling, what are my chances of actually improving?”People don’t want to waste time, money, or emotional energy — especially if they’ve tried things before and felt stuck.

While I can’t speak for every therapist or every client’s journey, we do have strong research about what tends to influence outcomes in counselling.

Below is a simple, honest breakdown of the factors that most shape success, how much each one contributes, and what you can realistically expect.

Overall Chances of “Success” (Improvement):

Across counselling research, about 70–80% of clients experience meaningful improvement when they engage with therapy consistently.

This doesn’t mean “perfectly healed.”It means:

✔ better coping

✔ reduced distress

✔ fewer stuck patterns✔ improved regulation

✔ clearer thinking

✔ more emotional stability

✔ better life functioning

What Determines Success? The 4 Evidence-Based Factors

Decades of psychotherapy research consistently show that outcomes depend on four main ingredients:

Factor

Contribution to Outcome

Meaning

1. Client Factors & Life Context

40%

What you bring: motivation, readiness, stress load, support, current circumstances

2. Therapeutic Relationship

30%

How safe, understood, and accepted you feel with your therapist

3. Expectations & Hope

15%

Whether you believe improvement is possible; your sense of possibility

4. Therapy Approach & Techniques

15%

The specific method used (CBT, somatic, stuck-patterns work, trauma-informed, etc.)

Simple Visual Chart

Chances of Counselling Success (What Contributes Most)

Client Factors & Life Context      ████████████████████ 40%
Therapeutic Relationship           ██████████████        30%
Expectations & Hope                ██████                15%
Therapy Approach & Techniques      █████                 15%

(Each block ≈ 2%)

Explaining Each Variable Clearly

1. Client Factors & Life Context (40%)

This has the largest impact.It includes:

  • Your current stress levels

  • How safe your environment is

  • Your emotional readiness

  • Your daily support systems

  • How much pressure you’re under

  • Your ability to practice skills between sessions

  • Past trauma load (which affects pace, not possibility)

This doesn’t mean “success is all on you.”It simply reflects that your life conditions play a major role in how quickly or deeply change can happen.

Good news: Even small improvements in safety, rest, boundaries, or self-compassion can dramatically improve therapy outcomes.

2. The Therapeutic Relationship (30%)

This is the second most powerful predictor of positive outcomes.

Research shows clients improve more when:

  • they feel safe

  • they feel heard

  • they feel respected

  • they feel understood

  • there is trust

  • there is a sense of collaboration

This is why I always tell clients:The relationship between us matters more than any specific technique.If the connection doesn’t feel right, the work won’t feel right.

3. Expectations, Hope & Mindset (15%)

This doesn’t mean “toxic positivity.”It means:

  • believing that change is at least possible

  • recognising that you deserve support

  • allowing some trust in the process

  • being willing to experiment with new ways of responding

Clients who come in thinking:“Maybe this could help… I’m willing to try,”tend to do significantly better than those who feel hopeless or forced.

The goal is not to be confident.The goal is to be open.

4. Therapy Approach & Techniques (15%)

This includes whatever method the counsellor uses:

  • trauma-informed

  • nervous-system regulation

  • stuck-pattern change work

  • somatic processing

  • parts work

  • CBT and behavioural techniques

  • emotional memory integration

  • grounding and resourcing

  • attachment repair work

Techniques matter — just less than people think.Research shows that almost all mainstream therapies help, as long as the relationship is good and the client is supported.

So What Are Your Chances of Success?

Here’s the most honest answer:

Your chances are very high — if we work together, build safety, stay consistent, and move at a pace that suits your nervous system.

Most people improve because:

  • humans naturally heal when conditions are right

  • the brain and body are wired for adaptation

  • stuck patterns are changeable, not permanent

  • counselling provides structured support and non-judgmental reflection

  • safety accelerates growth

You don’t need to be “strong,” “motivated,” or “ready.”You just need to be willing.

If You’re Wondering Whether It Will Work for You:

Here are some questions to explore:

  • Are you open to observing your patterns?

  • Do you want something in your life to shift?

  • Are you willing to try small experiments between sessions?

  • Are you willing to be honest (gently, at your pace)?

  • Do you feel like I’m someone you could trust over time?

If the answer to even one of those is “yes,”your chances of success go up significantly.

Final Reassurance

No counsellor can promise an outcome.But we can promise:

  • safety

  • respect

  • evidence-based methods

  • collaboration

  • pacing that matches your nervous system

  • a relationship designed to support change

And in that environment, most people improve — often much more than they expected

 
 
 

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